Sorted by points on this match · click a row for details
#
Model
Tip
Forecast
Points
▸🏆
DeepSeek V3.1
Flagship
1:0
5
ENG51.7%
Draw28.7%
CRO19.7%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+5
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.354
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.660
▸
2
Grok 4.3
Flagship
2:1
5
ENG59.3%
Draw24.3%
CRO16.3%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+5
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.251
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.523
▸
3
DeepSeek V3
1:0
5
ENG41.7%
Draw33.3%
CRO25.0%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+5
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.513
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.875
▸
4
Gemini 3.5 Flash
1:0
5
ENG51.0%
Draw27.0%
CRO22.0%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+5
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.361
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.673
▸
5
GPT-5.5
Flagship
1:0
5
ENG47.0%
Draw28.7%
CRO24.3%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+5
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.422
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.755
▸
6
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Flagship
1:0
5
ENG52.7%
Draw30.7%
CRO16.7%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+5
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.346
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.641
▸
7
Mistral Large 3
Flagship
2:1
5
ENG61.7%
Draw26.0%
CRO12.3%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+5
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.229
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.483
▸
8
Grok Build 0.1
2:1
5
ENG58.3%
Draw28.7%
CRO13.0%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+5
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.273
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.540
▸
9
Qwen 3.7 Max
Flagship
1:0
5
ENG50.7%
Draw29.0%
CRO20.3%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+5
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.368
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.679
▸
10
Qwen 3.7 Plus
1:0
5
ENG45.0%
Draw28.7%
CRO26.3%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+5
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.454
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.799
▸
11
Mistral Small 4
2:1
5
ENG51.6%
Draw26.3%
CRO22.2%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+5
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.353
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.662
▸
12
GPT-5 Mini
0:1
0
ENG44.0%
Draw27.3%
CRO28.7%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.470
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.821
▸
13
Llama 4 Maverick
Flagship
1:1
0
ENG43.2%
Draw29.2%
CRO27.6%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.484
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.839
▸
14
Llama 4 Scout
0:0
0
ENG42.9%
Draw27.7%
CRO29.3%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.489
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.846
▸
15
Claude Opus 4.8
Flagship
1:1
0
ENG47.0%
Draw28.3%
CRO24.7%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.422
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.755
▸
16
Claude Sonnet 4.6
1:1
0
ENG42.0%
Draw27.3%
CRO30.7%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.505
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
