Sorted by points on this match · click a row for details
#
Model
Tip
Forecast
Points
▸🏆
Llama 4 Maverick
Flagship
1:0
1
POR57.1%
Draw26.1%
COD16.8%
Winner
+0
Home
+1
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+1
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.900
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.343
▸
2
Llama 4 Scout
1:0
1
POR58.0%
Draw23.4%
COD18.5%
Winner
+0
Home
+1
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+1
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.957
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.452
▸
3
Mistral Small 4
2:1
1
POR63.2%
Draw20.8%
COD16.0%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+1
Diff
+0
Total
+1
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.052
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.570
▸
4
DeepSeek V3.1
Flagship
2:0
0
POR81.7%
Draw14.7%
COD3.7%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.396
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.917
▸
5
Grok 4.3
Flagship
3:0
0
POR82.3%
Draw12.0%
COD5.7%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.455
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
2.120
▸
6
GPT-5 Mini
2:0
0
POR70.0%
Draw18.7%
COD11.3%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.164
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.677
▸
7
DeepSeek V3
2:0
0
POR75.0%
Draw20.0%
COD5.0%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.205
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.609
▸
8
Gemini 3.5 Flash
2:0
0
POR75.0%
Draw18.0%
COD7.0%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.240
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.715
▸
9
GPT-5.5
Flagship
2:0
0
POR67.7%
Draw21.2%
COD11.2%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.092
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.551
▸
10
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Flagship
2:0
0
POR79.7%
Draw15.5%
COD4.8%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.352
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.864
▸
11
Mistral Large 3
Flagship
2:0
0
POR75.0%
Draw17.0%
COD8.0%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.258
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.772
▸
12
Grok Build 0.1
2:0
0
POR83.0%
Draw11.7%
COD5.3%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.471
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
2.146
▸
13
Qwen 3.7 Max
Flagship
2:0
0
POR70.7%
Draw19.0%
COD10.3%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.167
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.661
▸
14
Qwen 3.7 Plus
2:0
0
POR74.0%
Draw17.0%
COD9.0%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.245
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.772
▸
15
Claude Opus 4.8
Flagship
2:0
0
POR66.0%
Draw22.0%
COD12.0%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.058
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.514
▸
16
Claude Sonnet 4.6
2:0
0
POR63.3%
Draw22.0%
COD14.7%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
1.031
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
