Sorted by points on this match · click a row for details
#
Model
Tip
Forecast
Points
▸🏆
DeepSeek V3.1
Flagship
2:0
8
AUT74.0%
Draw20.0%
JOR6.0%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+3
Total
+8
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.111
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.301
▸
2
Grok 4.3
Flagship
2:0
8
AUT74.0%
Draw17.3%
JOR8.7%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+3
Total
+8
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.105
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.301
▸
3
GPT-5 Mini
2:0
8
AUT70.0%
Draw18.0%
JOR12.0%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+3
Total
+8
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.137
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.357
▸
4
DeepSeek V3
2:0
8
AUT65.0%
Draw25.0%
JOR10.0%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+3
Total
+8
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.195
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.431
▸
5
Gemini 3.5 Flash
2:0
8
AUT75.0%
Draw18.3%
JOR6.7%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+3
Total
+8
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.100
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.288
▸
6
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Flagship
2:0
8
AUT73.3%
Draw19.3%
JOR7.3%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+3
Total
+8
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.114
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.311
▸
7
Mistral Large 3
Flagship
2:0
8
AUT73.0%
Draw18.0%
JOR9.0%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+3
Total
+8
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.113
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.315
▸
8
Grok Build 0.1
2:0
8
AUT78.0%
Draw16.0%
JOR6.0%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+3
Total
+8
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.078
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.248
▸
9
Qwen 3.7 Max
Flagship
2:0
8
AUT72.0%
Draw17.7%
JOR10.3%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+3
Total
+8
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.120
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.329
▸
10
Qwen 3.7 Plus
2:0
8
AUT70.7%
Draw19.3%
JOR10.0%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+3
Total
+8
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.133
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.347
▸
11
Mistral Small 4
2:0
8
AUT68.2%
Draw21.7%
JOR10.2%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+3
Total
+8
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.159
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.383
▸
12
Claude Sonnet 4.6
2:1
6
AUT56.0%
Draw23.7%
JOR20.3%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+1
Diff
+0
Total
+6
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.291
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.580
▸
13
Llama 4 Maverick
Flagship
1:0
5
AUT55.8%
Draw26.1%
JOR18.1%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+5
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.296
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.583
▸
14
GPT-5.5
Flagship
1:0
5
AUT64.7%
Draw21.8%
JOR13.5%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+5
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.190
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.435
▸
15
Claude Opus 4.8
Flagship
1:0
5
AUT56.0%
Draw25.0%
JOR19.0%
Winner
+5
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+5
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.292
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.580
▸
16
Llama 4 Scout
0:0
0
AUT42.0%
Draw31.0%
JOR27.0%
Winner
+0
Home
+0
Away
+0
Diff
+0
Total
+0
Brier
Calculated after the final result: how close this model’s win/draw/loss percentages were to what actually happened. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
0.505
Log loss
Calculated after the final result: how much probability this model gave the outcome that really happened. Very confident but wrong = much worse. Lower is better. Does not change the match points above.
